EDHE career market, even at 50 cents, simulated

Edward He

Software engineer and founder. I build prediction markets, trading systems, and the backends underneath them.

Each dot is one registered Pear user.

50¢

The book opens at 50¢. Nine markets follow: brackets, multiple choice, a parlay, and two yes/no, one of which resolves NO. Every result is a fact from the résumé.

Market 01a · Pear Role open

How much will Pear raise from angels?

Pear · Founder & Founding Engineer · Apr 2026–Present

40¢ $250K–$499K Leads · 4 brackets
    • Founded Pear and raised $500,000 in angel funding.
    • Built React and TypeScript mobile and web experiences with React Native, Expo, and Tailwind CSS, integrating backend APIs and progressive web app support.

    Resolution · $500K–$999K $500,000 raised in angel funding.

    Market 01b · Pear Role open

    How many registered users will Pear reach?

    Pear · Founder & Founding Engineer · Apr 2026–Present

    41¢ 10K–39K Leads · 4 brackets

      70,000 Each dot is one registered Pear user.

      • Own mobile and backend engineering for a prediction-market platform with 70,000 registered users.
      • Node.js and Hono APIs on PostgreSQL and Redis that keep public requests, background workers, and private transaction execution separate.

      Resolution · 70K+ 70,000 registered users.

      Market 01c · Pear Role open

      Will Pear auto-retry an order when the execution outcome is uncertain?

      Pear · Founder & Founding Engineer · Apr 2026–Present

      66¢ Yes Leads · yes / no
        • Idempotent order submission and fill reconciliation. When an order’s execution outcome is uncertain, the cash reservation is preserved and automatic retries are blocked.
        • Vitest coverage for failure and recovery paths, execution timing instrumentation, worker health checks, and Docker packaging for debugging and release validation.

        Resolution · NO, by design Cash stays reserved, automatic retries are blocked, and the fill gets reconciled.

        Market 02 · Plyra Tech Role ended

        What will Plyra Tech book in first-year revenue?

        Plyra Tech · Founder & Founding Engineer · Mar–Nov 2025

        46¢ $25K–$99K Leads · 3 brackets
          • Founded a B2B SaaS company and owned product design, backend architecture, development, and deployment.
          • $100,000+ in first-year revenue.

          Resolution · $100K+ $100,000+ first-year revenue. Position closed Nov 2025.

          Market 03 · QDash Role open

          Will QDash hit all three legs?

          QDash · Co-Founder & Product Engineer · Oct 2024–Present

          10¢ 3-leg parlay 0/3 legs locked
            • Built an Onyx RCR e-bike dashboard with real-time telemetry, firmware flashing, battery insights, and CarPlay support, spanning UX, backend services, firmware, and frontend.
            • 100+ paying customers and about $1,000 in monthly recurring revenue.
            • Secured an official partnership with Onyx Motorbikes.

            Resolution · Parlay hit 3/3 100+ paying customers, about $1,000 MRR, and an official partnership with Onyx Motorbikes.

            Market 04 · Studio23 Labs Role open

            Will a private trader acquire the algorithm for live-market use?

            Studio23 Labs · Senior Software Engineer · Jan 2025–Present

            72¢ No Leads · yes / no
              • Pine Script trading systems with momentum models, chart signals, and automated alerts.
              • Created an algorithm acquired by a private trader for live-market use.

              Resolution · YES Acquired by a private trader for live-market use.

              Market 05 · Sagetech Capital Role ended

              Which index will the 0DTE strategies focus on?

              Sagetech Capital · Quantitative Engineer · Jan–Dec 2025

              38¢ SPX Leads · 4 outcomes
                • Developed and evaluated NQ-focused 0DTE options strategies in Python.
                • Analyzed market signals and model performance.

                Resolution · NQ NQ-focused 0DTE options strategies, developed and evaluated in Python (2025).

                Market 06 · Santa Clara University Role ended

                What will the graph neural nets be built to predict?

                Santa Clara University · Research Intern · Jun–Aug 2024

                34¢ Traffic jams Leads · 4 outcomes
                  • Built Transformer and graph neural network models, including GraphSAGE and GAT, to predict cascading power-grid failures.
                  • Created custom probability-matrix training labels.

                  Resolution · Cascading power-grid failures Transformer and GNN models (GraphSAGE, GAT) built to predict cascading power-grid failures.

                  Market 07 · Awards Settled

                  Where does Edward place at Stanford ACM ProCo 2023?

                  Selected awards · 2023

                  42¢ Top 10 Leads · 4 outcomes
                    1. Stanford ACM ProCo 2023 · 1st
                    2. Code for Cause hackathon 2023 · 1st

                    Resolution · 1st First place, Stanford ACM ProCo programming competition (2023). Also first place, Code for Cause hackathon (2023).

                    Watchlist

                    Skills from the résumé. A year fills only when a role on the résumé names the skill; skills listed without a role stay empty rather than guessed.

                    Hover or focus a row to light the markets that used it.

                    Skills grouped by area, with the years a role used each one
                    SymbolNameHeld, 2023 to 2026Named in
                    Languages & frameworks
                    TSTypeScript2026Pear · summary
                    JSJavaScriptno role names itSkills list
                    PYPython2025Sagetech · summary
                    REACTReact2026Pear · summary
                    RNReact Native2026Pear
                    EXPOExpo2026Pear
                    TWTailwind CSS2026Pear
                    NODENode.js2026Pear
                    HONOHono2026Pear
                    FLASKFlaskno role names itSkills list
                    PINEPine Script2025, 2026Studio23 Labs
                    Data & infrastructure
                    PGPostgreSQL2026Pear
                    REDISRedis2026Pear
                    WSWebSocketsno role names itSkills list
                    DOCKERDocker2026Pear
                    FLYFly.iono role names itSkills list
                    GITGitno role names itSkills list
                    LINUXLinuxno role names itSkills list
                    VITESTVitest2026Pear
                    AI & ML
                    CODEXCodexno role names itSkills list
                    OPENAIOpenAI APIno role names itSkills list
                    TORCHPyTorchno role names itSkills list
                    TFTensorFlowno role names itSkills list
                    HFHugging Faceno role names itSkills list
                    Market 08 · You Open

                    Will you reach out?

                    Every other market on this page has resolved. This one stays open. Email is the fastest way to reach me.

                    50¢ Open · no resolution date

                    teeheeedward@gmail.com

                    Edward He

                    Software Engineer · teeheeedward@gmail.com · github.com/waterbongo · X · LinkedIn · pear.trade

                    Software engineer and founder building full-stack products with React, TypeScript, and Python. Experience owning product development, backend architecture, deployment, and production troubleshooting.

                    Experience

                    Pear · Founder and Founding Engineer Apr 2026–Present

                    • Founded Pear and raised $500,000 in angel funding; own mobile and backend engineering for a prediction-market platform with 70,000 registered users.
                    • Built React and TypeScript mobile and web experiences with React Native, Expo, and Tailwind CSS, integrating backend APIs and progressive web app support.
                    • Developed Node.js/Hono APIs backed by PostgreSQL and Redis, separating public requests, background workers, and private transaction execution.
                    • Implemented idempotent order submission and fill reconciliation, preserving cash reservations and blocking automatic retries when execution outcomes are uncertain.
                    • Added Vitest coverage for failure and recovery paths, execution timing instrumentation, worker health checks, and Docker packaging to support debugging and release validation.

                    Studio23 Labs · Senior Software Engineer Jan 2025–Present

                    • Developed Pine Script trading systems with momentum models, chart signals, and automated alerts; created an algorithm acquired by a private trader for live-market use.

                    Sagetech Capital · Quantitative Engineer Jan–Dec 2025

                    • Developed and evaluated NQ-focused 0DTE options strategies in Python; analyzed market signals and model performance.

                    Plyra Tech · Founder and Founding Engineer Mar–Nov 2025

                    • Founded a B2B SaaS company generating $100,000+ in first-year revenue; owned product design, backend architecture, development, and deployment.

                    QDash · Co-Founder and Product Engineer Oct 2024–Present

                    • Built an Onyx RCR e-bike dashboard with real-time telemetry, firmware flashing, battery insights, and CarPlay support, spanning UX, backend services, firmware, and frontend development.
                    • Reached 100+ paying customers and approximately $1,000 in monthly recurring revenue; secured an official partnership with Onyx Motorbikes.

                    Santa Clara University · Research Intern Jun–Aug 2024

                    • Built Transformer and graph neural network models, including GraphSAGE and GAT, to predict cascading power-grid failures; created custom probability-matrix training labels.

                    Technical skills

                    Languages and frameworks
                    TypeScript, JavaScript, Python, React, React Native, Expo, Tailwind CSS, Node.js, Hono, Flask
                    Data and infrastructure
                    PostgreSQL, Redis, WebSockets, Docker, Fly.io, Git, Linux, Vitest
                    AI and ML
                    Codex, OpenAI API, PyTorch, TensorFlow, Hugging Face

                    Selected awards

                    First place, Stanford ACM ProCo programming competition (2023); first place, Code for Cause hackathon (2023).

                    How the markets resolved

                    Prices on the page are simulated. The outcomes vary by market, and each resolution is one of the facts above.